What BI is, for a small business

Business intelligence is turning what happened in your shop into decisions about what to do next. Descriptive (what happened), diagnostic (why), and, later, predictive (what will happen).

Get one trustworthy source

Most small businesses have scattered data: till totals, a notebook, a spreadsheet, chat messages. Pick one source of truth. A loyalty system is a good one because every record carries who, when, where and how much.

The core metrics

AreaMetricWhy
SalesRevenue, purchases, average ticketThe basics
CustomersCustomers served, new, repeatWhere sales come from
RetentionRepeat rate, cohort retentionWill they come back
ValueCLV, top customersWho to protect
OperationsBusy hours, branch comparisonStaff and stock
LoyaltyRedemptions, unspent valueIs the program healthy
MarketingMessages delivered, came in within 7 daysDid it work

Definitions: business analytics glossary.

The weekly review

Ten minutes, same time every week:

  1. Revenue and customers vs last week and the same week last month
  2. Repeat customers
  3. The quietest hours
  4. One thing that changed, and why
  5. One action

Start with the 5 numbers.

  • Small numbers bounce. 12 customers vs 9 is not a trend.
  • Compare like with like. A Monday vs a Saturday tells you nothing.
  • Check seasonality. December is not a fair comparison for January.
  • Correlation isn't cause. Members spending more doesn't prove membership made them spend.

Honest data

Know what your numbers include. If your data comes from loyalty scans, it covers cardholders' purchases, not every walk-in. Label estimates as estimates.

From descriptive to predictive

Once you have a few months of data, you can start to forecast: if month-1 retention holds at 40% and you get 150 new customers, expect about 60 of them back next month. Keep it simple and check your forecasts against what happens.

With Selyo

Selyo's Insights cover sales, customers, busy times, loyalty and marketing, refreshed hourly, for any period and branch. See business intelligence.